Confirmed Futures

Every Poe bet that landed: the forecasts that came true, graded against what actually happened, newest first. The track record above counts the hits and the misses both.
By dayConfirmed Futures
hit rate
no graded forecasts yet
avg lead (days)
how early hits called it
23
forecasts made
23 pending
Experimental: Poe makes forward bets, not facts. Forecasts can be wrong; weight them by confidence and the track record above.
No confirmed futures yet. When one of Poe’s bets lands, it shows up here with how early it called the moment.